The fear of war has increased significantly in Germany

This year it was noticed that the fear of war increased by 10 percentage points compared to the previous year

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The fear of war has increased significantly in Germany. A quarter of the population in this country is very worried that Germany could be involved in a war, can be read in the Security Report 2020.

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The management report on the Germans’ sense of security is published by an institute with the splendid name “Center for Strategy and Higher Management”, which is based on Lake Constance and, as the name of the business card suggests, has managers as its target group: “One focus of the activity is on training for deciding in complex situations and under high uncertainty. “

Both complex situations and high levels of uncertainty are currently not lacking, as can be seen not only from a look in the media, but also from the results of the “Security Report 2020”, which are transmitted to the press. The report itself remains exclusive. The figures come from the Allensbach Institute.

Fears of war

The security report has been published annually since 2011, which allows comparisons. This year it was noticed that the “fear of war” increased by 10 percentage points compared to the previous year. “A clear leap up,” is added as an assessment. The report flips through a whole catalog of concerns, ranging from health risks, fear of dementia and cancer to clan crime and the insecurity towards lawless areas, a “gloomy picture of the development of crime” to the level of concern given the international situation.

58 percent of the population share the “great concern that, in their view, the situation in Europe and the world is becoming increasingly unpredictable”, and 44 percent fear that Germany will be drawn into military conflicts, the survey found.

Last year, the security report, which in turn was borne by the feeling of the population “living in a particularly uncertain time”, attracted the attention of the United States, which was seen “as the greatest danger to world peace”, even before North Korea, Turkey and Russia.

A strong pull towards neutrality

The two results of the Security Reports 2019/2020 are reflected in an indirect way in graphs that appear in the report’s input essay for the upcoming Munich Security Conference next weekend. On page 19 of the Munich Security Report 2020 PDF, it is shown how the answers to the question, which wants to know what the citizens of an EU country surveyed would choose in the event of a conflict between the United States and Russia.

The majority in Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary and Italy are clearly absent. Only in Poland is the approval for “staying neutral” at 45% below 50 percent. Everywhere else, the majority voted in favor. With the peak value of 85 percent in neutral Austria and significant 70 percent in Germany.

The other options were: “Stand with the US” or “Stand with Russia”. The top score for the USA page choice was achieved in the 2019 poll by Poland with 33 percent. In Germany, just 12 percent of the population surveyed would side with the NATO partner in the conflict between the United States and Russia. Russia would choose 7 percent.

Even in the US-China conflict, there are clearly clear majorities for a neutral position. They are more pronounced. In six out of eight countries, approval for “staying neutral” is over 60 percent. There is not even an approach for the majority of the side elections to be seen, which one might paint into the survey bars with some effort with the 33 percent support of Poles for the USA in the conflict with Russia.

In the event of a conflict between the United States and China, the majority of the Poles surveyed are “remain neutral” at 54 percent. In Germany it is 73 percent. 6 percent would support China in this country and only 10 percent would support the United States.

The desire to “keep out” of military conflicts in which the USA is involved fits – like the classification of the danger of war, for whose emergence the policy of the US government is partly responsible (security report 2019) badly to the convictions that are stated in the introduction to the current report of the Munich Security Conference. [end]


The author of the article is Thomas Pany. Thomas Pany studied political science with Kurt Sontheimer at the Ludwig Maximilian University in Munich, plus modern history and Semitic studies. The original article has been published in Telepolis. Translation and editing by Defenseweek’s team.

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